Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus66 khnx 120925
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Hanford California
125 am PST Tue Nov 12 2019
Synopsis...temperatures will remain well above normal through
Wednesday then lower later in the week to near average levels
into the weekend. Dry weather will persist through the period.
Discussion...WV indicating upper ridging rebuilding into central
California. This will maintain dry conditions and much warmer than normal
temperatures across the area through Wednesday with just some
thin high clouds at times.
The sref is indicating that the ridge will break down later this
week allowing for a cooling trend to take place across our area
Thursday through Saturday. This will allow for an upper trough to
push through our area on Friday with the deformation band from
the trough bringing some mid/high clouds to our area Wednesday
night through Thursday night and provide for enough mixing to
scour out some of the stagnant air over our area.
However, this system is expected to split before moving through
our area and the deeper moisture sufficient for precipitation is
progged to remain well to the north of our area while the southern
energy breaks off and forms a cutoff low off the Baja Coast on
Saturday which is progged to remain quasi-stationary through early
next week while high pressure rebuilds over California and forms another
stagnant Rex block pattern. Some temperature recovery is expected
to take place on Sunday and Monday as the ridge strengthens over
Aviation...local MVFR in haze across the San Joaquin Valley.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail over the central California
interior during the next 24 hours.
Air quality issues...on Tuesday November 12 2019... unhealthy
for sensitive groups in Kern... Kings and Tulare counties.
Fireplace/wood stove burning status is: no burning unless
registered in Fresno... Madera and Tulare counties. No burning for
all in Kern and Kings counties. Further information is available
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.Weather.Gov/hnx/certainty.Html for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.