Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville Florida 949 am EDT sun may 19 2013 Update... quiet conditions occurring this morning with broken to overcast low clouds increasing along the I-75 corridor and mostly sunny skies near the East Coast of NE Florida. Next shortwave trough to affect our area this afternoon/evening is over central Georgia and will arrive during peak heating when sea breezes are active. Similar to yesterday...expectations are for some strong storms with gusty winds...hail and excessive lightning. && Aviation... prevailing VFR. Convection is expected to develop this afternoon due to sea breeze enhanced diurnal instability. Have a tempo for thunderstorms and rain in the middle to late afternoon. && Marine... buoys are reporting winds southeast to S 5-15 knots and mainly 3 feet seas. Forecast is on track and no changes in the update. Rip currents: low risk continues today then as swells begin to impact the coast...moderate risk expected early this week. && Preliminary point temps/pops... amg 87 67 87 65 / 50 30 50 20 ssi 81 71 80 69 / 30 20 40 20 jax 85 68 85 66 / 50 30 50 30 sgj 82 69 81 69 / 30 20 40 20 gnv 88 67 87 64 / 50 40 50 30 ocf 90 67 87 66 / 50 40 50 30 && Jax watches/warnings/advisories... Florida...none. Georgia...none. Am...none. && $$ Trabert/guillet/