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fxus64 klix 172102 
afdlix

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
402 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

Discussion...
the area is currently sandwiched between freshly formed tropical
storm Imelda and dry high pressure to the northeast. Currently
thinking that Imelda will be too far west for southeastern
Louisiana to feel much impacts, but not able to rule out some
heavy rain with some showers or thunderstorms around the
Atchafalaya basin. Otherwise above normal heat will continue for
the area. Next possible feature of note is a possible backdoor
front coming from the east late Thursday into Friday that would
slightly knock down dewpoints a bit and bring chances of
precipitation. -Bl

&&

Aviation...
expect VFR conditions for all area terminals through this evening.
Only feature to watch will be for khum and kbtr with showers and
storms nearby. Main threats with these showers/storms will be
temporary reductions in visibility leading to periodic lowering of
flight categories, and gusty erratic surface winds of around 20 to
30 knots through 23z. All areas dry out tonight with VFR conditions
prevailing. 18

&&

Marine...
winds will generally be light with some diurnal fluctuations. The
next chance of stronger onshore winds coming from the east on
late Thursday into Friday. These winds could reach small craft
exercise caution criteria and possibly advisory for this weekend.
-Bl



&&

Decision support...

Dss code: blue.
Deployed: none.
Activation: none.
Activities: marginal risk for excessive rainfall western areas.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
mcb 72 94 72 92 / 20 20 10 40
btr 74 91 73 91 / 20 40 10 40
asd 73 94 73 91 / 20 20 10 40
msy 77 92 77 91 / 20 20 10 40
gpt 75 93 75 89 / 20 10 10 40
pql 73 96 74 90 / 20 10 10 40

&&

Lix watches/warnings/advisories...
la...none.
GM...none.
MS...none.

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