Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus62 kmlb 171443 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
1043 am EDT Tue Sep 17 2019

with drier air coming into east central Florida this morning, skies
have remained clear across the area. But moving from north-northwest to south-southeast
over the Atlantic waters are clouds and isolated showers that are
expected to continue through the afternoon. However, conditions at
sea remain dangerous. Hurricane Humberto currently located well
off the coast of the Carolinas, is producing large swells which
are reaching the coastal waters of Florida. These will keep high seas
and with an increasing period, dangerous breaking waves and minor
coastal erosion will be possible as these conditions are expected
to last through at least the rest of the week and into the
weekend. The risk for rip currents remains high, especially near
low tide times occurring around mid-morning. Beach goers should
avoid getting in the water despite temperatures reaching the low
to mid 90s across the area this afternoon.


VFR conditions with winds from the northwest to north becoming north to NE in
the afternoon. These will range 7 to 12 kts and for the coastal
sites some gusts up to 20 kts in the afternoon.


buoy 41009 reported seas of 9 feet and 10 sec in the last hour and
winds from the northwest at 14 kts and gusts of 18 kts. The Small Craft
Advisory remains in effect for all the east central Florida waters and
it is forecast to continue through the weekend. Minimum shower
activity across the waters today but chances for showers will
return on Wednesday.


Mlb watches/warnings/advisories...
Am...Small Craft Advisory until 4 am EDT Thursday for Flagler Beach
to Volusia-Brevard County line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to
Volusia-Brevard County line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-
60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20
nm-Volusia-Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations