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afdmob

Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
1124 PM CST Sat Nov 16 2019

Discussion...updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

Aviation...
06z issuance...VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.
Northerly winds up to around 5 knots tonight become easterly near
midday Sunday then switch to a light westerly flow by early
evening. /29

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 518 PM CST Sat Nov 16 2019/

Discussion...updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...
00z issuance...VFR conditions continue for the next 24 hours. Light
northerly winds become easterly Sunday morning then more westerly
Sunday afternoon. /29

Previous discussion... /issued 346 PM CST Sat Nov 16 2019/

Near term /now through Sunday/...a dry, light to moderate northerly
flow will continue across the forecast area tonight and Sunday, as
mid and upper level ridging builds east across the area in the wake
of a developing low pressure area that will be heading up the mid
Atlantic coast. This pattern will result in clear skies and mild
conditions across the area during the near term. Lows tonight will
still be a little on the cool side, ranging from the lower 30s over
northwestern interior counties to lower 40s southeast interior
counties of the western Florida Panhandle, especially north of I-10.
South of I-10 and along the coast look for lows to be in the mid to
upper 40s (maybe low 50s on some of the barrier islands). Highs on
Sunday are expected to be in the low to mid 60s across the entire
area. /12

Short term /Sunday night through Tuesday night/...an upper trough
and associated cold front will bring a reinforcing shot of cool
and dry air to the area Sunday night. This cool and dry airmass
will continue through Monday as an upper trough continues across
the eastern states. The trough shifts eastward on Tuesday with an
upper levels northwest flow in place. This will lead to building
high pressure at the sfc and a continued dry airmass.
Temperatures will begin to moderate on Tuesday with highs warming
into the mid and upper 60s. /13

Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/...an upper ridge along
with sfc high pressure will build over the area on Wednesday as
another trough digs across the western states. As a result temps
will warm to around 70 on Wednesday and into the lower 70s on
Thursday. As sfc high pressure moves east Wednesday night into
Thursday, southerly flow will develop and bring moisture back into
the area. Rain chances increase Friday into Friday night as
another cold front approaches and moves across the area. /13

Marine...a moderate to occasionally strong offshore flow this
evening will result in small craft exercise caution conditions over
the Gulf waters early tonight, but flow will ease to light to
moderate late tonight, and remain so through Tuesday over most of
the marine area. There may be a slight increase in winds well
offshore late Monday into Tuesday as an upper level disturbance
moves east across the area. Surface high pressure will move over
and then east of the marine mid to late week, bringing a light to
occasionally moderate east and then southeasterly flow through late
week. /12

&&

Mob watches/warnings/advisories...
Alabama...none.
Florida...none.
MS...none.
GM...none.
&&

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