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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE
1143 PM CDT sun Oct 13 2019

Short term...(tonight through wednesday)
issued at 112 PM CDT sun Oct 13 2019

Quiet weather continues over the forecast area as a surface ridge
of high pressure extends across the region. A strong and departing
upper-level low moves across southern Ontario. Fast northwesterly
flow aloft continues over our area with an associated extensive
cloud deck just to our northeast but this should continue to
remain out of the area. Southerly return flow will warm
temperatures into the 60s and lower 70s for the most part Monday. A
cold front will sweep across the area on Tuesday producing gusty
northwest winds behind it, cooling temperatures into the 40s and
50s. An extended period of dry conditions is expected to continue
into next weekend with seasonable temperatures for the most part.

Long term...(wednesday night through sunday)
issued at 112 PM CDT sun Oct 13 2019

Near-normal temperatures continue across the area into the weekend
with a deepening western trough taking aim at the region by late
weekend. This will bring our next chance for precipitation, some
could be heavy, to the region beginning as early as late Saturday
night and continuing through Sunday. Many details yet to be worked
out regarding our next chance for precipitation, but confidence
is increasing for those chances late Saturday night and Sunday.


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Monday night)
issued at 1135 PM CDT sun Oct 13 2019

VFR conditions through the period. Some patchy fog possible Monday
morning from northeast neb/along the MO river into western Iowa.
Low level winds begin to increase at kofk and mixing aloft should
keep it localized. Confidence too low to mention at the taf
sites. Light north winds to become light southeast Monday morning.
Southeast winds increase 10 to 15kts during the day and mention
some gusts around 20kts at kofk. There may be some low level wind
shear for an hour or two at kofk around 18z, but for now have only
mentioned it at koma after 02z.


Oax watches/warnings/advisories...


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