Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus65 kpih 151954
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello Idaho
154 PM MDT Mon Jul 15 2019
Short term...tonight through Thursday.
Shower and thunderstorm activity will be limited to mainly upper
snake Highlands near Montana and Wyoming borders and eastern
Highlands. An upper level trof moving through Idaho Tuesday will
create more widespread showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon
and evening and have coverage everywhere in from noon through
midnight. Expect widespread dry conditions Wednesday and
Thursday as dry westerly flow aloft sets up. Temperatures will
run cooler both Tuesday and Wednesday near seasonal normals or
slightly below. Will begin to warm up Thursday to above normal
Long term...Friday through Monday.
The long term looks to be relatively calm with little impact with
dry conditions expected and temperatures near normal most of the
long term but expected to rise above normal by Sunday and Monday.
Aviation...little aviation concerns today outside of some windy
conditions during the afternoon. VFR ceiling and visible forecast. Np
Fire weather...red flag warning in effect through 9 PM for 410, 425
for warmer, windier and drier conditions. This trend will continue
tomorrow with strong winds expanding across additional zones.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are forecast across 476 and 475
tomorrow as well with a chance in 410, 413, 425. Wind directions
shift Wednesday behind the passage of a trough of low, becoming
more westerly but still at enhanced speeds. Showers and
thunderstorms all but dissipate by this time as well. This trend
will persist into Friday. Np
red flag warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for idz410-425.