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fxus65 kpih 170314 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello Idaho
914 PM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019

Update...convection winding down late this evening. A few
stragglers remain over central Custer County and across the
northeast corner with lighter showers over the south Central
Highlands. Trend should have activity should be over by midnight
which trends well with the high-res ensembles. Have trended
pop/wx grids with the decreasing activity leaving forecast area
completely dry after 09z. Dmh


Previous discussion... /issued 139 PM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019/

Short term...tonight through Thursday.
Will have isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms this
evening which will dissipate by midnight and overnight. Wednesday
and Thursday will be dry with breezy to windy afternoon conditions
especially on Thursday with 20 mph or greater sustained wind
speeds possible in the Snake River Plain. High temperatures both
days are expected to be slightly below seasonal normals for mid

Long term...Friday through Tuesday.
Will have near normal temperatures Friday and Saturday with
continued dry conditions. Hot temperatures are expected by Sunday
through Tuesday and rise to well above normal readings. May see a
return to monsoonal moisture by Monday and isolated thunderstorms
may return Monday and Tuesday.

Aviation...VFR ceiling and visible forecast with gusty winds forecast once
more this afternoon. A very low chance for a thunderstorm will
exist. Np &&

Fire weather...gusty southwest winds are forecast today across the
region. Wind directions will shift from the west Wednesday behind
the passage of a trough. Speeds will remain elevated in the 15 to 25
mph range across 410 and 425 as well as at Ridgetop level in 475 and
476. These speeds will remain elevated Thursday and Friday
afternoons in these areas. Showers and thunderstorms are possible
this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon in portions of 476, 475, 411
and 410 with gusty outflow winds possible. Improved humidities will
not lead US to issue and headlines at this time. Improved wind
speeds are anticipated over the weekend with a relaxed pressure
gradient. Np


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