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fxus64 ksjt 111759 aab 
afdsjt

Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
1159 am CST Mon Nov 11 2019

Aviation...
/18z tafs/

The cold front, as of 1145 am, has moved through all of our
taf sites. In its wake, gusty north winds will continue this
afternoon into tonight. Occasional gusts to or above 35 knots are
expected this afternoon at kabi, ksjt and kbbd. Widespread low
cloud cover will remain through the afternoon with MVFR to
occasionally IFR ceilings. Patchy light rain or drizzle is
expected at times. For tonight, gusty north winds will decrease
overnight. Patchy light freezing drizzle, light freezing rain and
sleet are possible at our southern terminals, mainly prior to
midnight. Low cloud cover be over the southern half of our area
early tonight, and then clearing is expected from the north
overnight. During the day Tuesday, mostly sunny skies and VFR
conditions are expected. North winds will decrease in the morning
and become light.

19

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 502 am CST Mon Nov 11 2019/

Aviation...
/12z tafs/

Stratus is resulting in MVFR ceilings at the southern 4 sites and
is forecast to spread north into kabi by 14z. IFR conditions will
also be possible at ksoa. A strong cold front will quickly move
through the forecast area this morning, resulting in gusty north
winds and MVFR/IFR ceilings. In addition, scattered light showers
and drizzle may develop behind the front, with reduced
visibilities into the MVFR category. Some light freezing rain or
sleet is possible late Monday afternoon and evening, although
impacts look minimal at this time. Confidence remains low that we
will see any frozen precipitation, so a mention was left out of
the current taf package. 21

Previous discussion... /issued 449 am CST Mon Nov 11 2019/

Short term...
(today and tonight)

A strong cold front will move rapidly south across west central
Texas this morning, bringing much colder temperatures and strong
north winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph through this
evening. Also, temperatures will fall through out the day and be in
the 30s by late this afternoon across much of the area. Patchy light
rain will develop behind the front. Expect, very cold conditions
tonight as gusty north winds continue. Wind chill values after
midnight will be between 5 and 15 degrees. Also, light winter
precipitation, freezing rain and sleet, is possible across the
southern half of the area mainly late this evening and a few hours
after midnight. Lows will be in the lower to mid 20s.

21

Long term...
(tuesday through sunday)

Mostly sunny and cold conditions will prevail across the area on
Tuesday, with surface high pressure over the area. A weak pressure
gradient will result in light winds but temperatures will be well
below normal for this time of year, with afternoon highs only in
the lower and middle 40s. Mostly clear and cold conditions will
continue Tuesday night, with overnight lows in the low to mid 20s.

Warmer temperatures are in store for the area beginning Wednesday
and continuing into next weekend. A couple of weak cold fronts will
affect the area Thursday and again next Sunday but will have minimal
impact on our weather, other than the possibly of a few showers
with the front on Sunday. Highs will be in the 50s to near 60 degrees
Wednesday and Thursday and in the 60s Friday through the weekend.
Lows will warm from the 30s mid to late week, to the 40s by the
weekend.

24

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 55 21 42 24 / 30 10 0 0
San Angelo 64 23 45 25 / 30 30 0 0
Junction 66 25 45 25 / 40 50 0 0
Brownwood 61 21 42 21 / 40 20 0 0
Sweetwater 53 21 43 26 / 30 5 0 0
Ozona 63 26 44 26 / 30 40 0 0

&&

Sjt watches/warnings/advisories...
Wind Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for Callahan-Fisher-
Haskell-Jones-Nolan-Shackelford-Taylor-Throckmorton.

Wind Advisory until 6 am CST Tuesday for Brown-Coke-Coleman-
Concho-Crockett-Irion-Kimble-Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Runnels-san

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