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000 
FXUS64 KSJT 162308
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
608 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2019

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will prevail for the remainder of the TAF period.
Winds will generally be light and southeasterly.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 249 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2019/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Tuesday)

Near persistence conditions continue under upper ridging. With a 
well developed cumulus field over the region each afternoon, there
is an outside chance of brief shower or thunderstorm, but 
potential too low to include the forecast. Highs continue in the 
low to mid 90s with lows 65 to 70. 

04

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)

The weak tropical disturbance currently just off the Texas Gulf 
Coast this afternoon is expected to move inland by Tuesday night 
or Wednesday, and then north through East Texas later in the week.
The upper level trough currently over the northwestern U.S. will 
be replaced by a more powerful trough, which will then push 
southeast into the Rocky Mountains. This will cause southwest flow
over our area to increase, pushing upper ridging east, and in 
turn keeping the tropical disturbance east of our area. Although 
we could see a few scattered showers and thunderstorms in our 
southeastern counties Wednesday and Wednesday night from the 
disturbance, most of the activity associated with this system will
take place east of our area.

Later in the week, as the western trough moves east toward the 
central U. S., shortwave energy will move across our area in 
southwest flow, and interact with the plentiful Gulf Moisture to 
give much of the area an additional chance for showers and 
thunderstorms from Thursday into Friday. This is not expected to 
be a widespread, or heavy rain event however. Most locations 
likely will not see rainfall, and those that do are expected to 
receive one half inch or less. As we move into the weekend, the 
rain chances move farther to the north and west, with our weather 
remaining generally dry. 

Temperatures will continue to average above normal, with highs 
mainly in the 90s, and lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. 

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  70  94  70  94 /   0   0   0   5 
San Angelo  68  95  69  96 /   0   0   0   5 
Junction  67  95  68  95 /   5   5   5  20 
Brownwood  68  93  68  93 /   0   5   5  20 
Sweetwater  70  92  70  92 /   0   0   0   5 
Ozona       67  93  68  94 /   0   0   0   5 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

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