Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
842 PM CDT Sat may 18 2013
Discussion...
It has been an active night to our west and northwest. Storms
developed along the dryline and have been spreading slowly northeast
early this evening. The storms over southwest into central OK have
the best potential of affecting northeast OK later. The storms in
this region have been more outflow dominant...and thus tornado
potential is greatly reduced. The storm near El Reno likely formed
on outflow from the storms to the southwest. This activity...or
new activity formed from outflow...will gradually progress north
and east in our direction. Damaging winds and possibly some large
hail will be the main hazards later tonight as storms may be
maintained awhile after dark by the low level jet. Areas west of Highway 75
stand the greatest chance of seeing severe weather tonight. The
hrrr continues to suggest that storms will weaken the farther east
they travel away from the better forcing and into the stronger
cap. Data still suggests that Sunday and Monday will be the big
severe weather days for eastern OK and northwest Arkansas.
Lacy
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 71 89 69 83 / 30 30 70 50
fsm 69 90 69 85 / 10 10 40 30
mlc 71 87 72 85 / 20 20 20 20
bvo 71 88 68 81 / 30 40 70 60
fyv 67 85 67 80 / 10 10 70 30
byv 67 86 65 79 / 10 10 70 30
mko 70 88 68 84 / 20 20 50 30
Mio 71 88 69 80 / 20 20 70 50
f10 71 87 70 84 / 20 20 50 40
hhw 68 87 70 88 / 10 10 20 20
&&
Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&
$$
Long term....30
