Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Atlantic still quiet, new wave moves off Africa

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 7:08 PM GMT on July 29, 2008

After a busy last few weeks, it seems that things have quieted down in the Atlantic. The only 'excitement' to be had is a new wave that has just moved off the coast of Africa. Convection in the wave is limited and certainly not organized. Development is not expected, but we will continue to monitor the system if only for a lack of anything else to watch.

Infrared Channel 4

Looking for something to pass the time while you wait for the next storm? Check out this "xkcd" comic:

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Cheers,
Bryan Woods

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2951. extreme236 11:41 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting kdav: notice that the two said chance for activity is decreasing AREA not the system. they have not written it off. They wrote it off lol Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2952. kdav 11:42 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
cyberteddy im watching it too. going nnw.

2953. Nolehead 11:42 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
well well well...looks like the life of the party showed up.... Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1919

2954. CybrTeddy 11:43 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Also, take a look at the loops in the GOMEX, It looks like a low has cut off from the Trough over us. Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20240

2956. quasigeostropic 11:44 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Them dumb NHC people! There are plenty of showers with this system...look at all them -30C cloud tops! This thing should be a Cat 1 what are they talking about?? I think the NHC are very much qualified to say that. SST's in front of the wave are cooler, as noted earlier by the stratocu....envoronment is not that favorable. Like I said before, data out in the far eastern Atlantic is very sparse. It's really any man's guess as to what it will do initially. Member Since: November 20, 2007 Posts: 21 Comments: 192

2957. StormChaser2005 11:44 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting stillwaiting: 2936...easy killer!!..lol Ive lost everything i owned and my dog because of that storm and i dont want it to happen again!!!!!!!!!!!!

2958. NeverPanic 11:44 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
My opinion, and this is just mine. NHC is doing the best with what they have with, after 05, is a very rough and critical audiance. Yet we still hang on their words. Kudos to them. Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 834

2959. Tazmanian 11:44 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
what is this off the W coast of FL all so looks like it has a spin too it of some kind Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5088 Comments: 111346

2960. freeroam 11:45 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Hey, out of lurking to say I also live in NOLA. Not funny. Quoting quakeman55: Basically, the Caribbean system will move NNW, then NW straight into the middle of the Gulf, move over a warm eddy, blossom into a CAT 5, then move straight into New Orleans. There I said it. Haha (Let's hope that keeps StormTop and all his incarnations subdued for a while, lol) Member Since: September 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 245

2961. extreme236 11:45 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
In case anyone didn't catch that...I was being sarcastic about the 98L thing...obviously it went poof. Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2962. extreme236 11:46 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
2959. Its an area of disturbed weather under 30-40kts of wind shear...nothing to worry about, yet Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2963. Nolehead 11:46 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
tz i asked that earlier and notta...this could get interesting...been raining all day long..and now with a spin ?!?! Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1919

2967. Nolehead 11:49 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
lol, yeah i'm just messing with ya JFV..yeah more drama... Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1919

2968. StormChaser2005 11:49 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting freeroam: Hey, out of lurking to say I also live in NOLA. Not funny. Quoting quakeman55: Basically, the Caribbean system will move NNW, then NW straight into the middle of the Gulf, move over a warm eddy, blossom into a CAT 5, then move straight into New Orleans. There I said it. Haha (Let's hope that keeps StormTop and all his incarnations subdued for a while, lol) CAN you beleve this guy i lost EVERYTHING!!!!

2970. Tazmanian 11:50 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
why wuld there be 30 to 40kt in the gulf??? Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5088 Comments: 111346

2972. extreme236 11:51 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
SC2005, I wouldn't take it too seriously. Its just a running joke from Stormkat since he says everything will hit NOLA. Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2973. Nolehead 11:51 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
if we had that my butt would be surfing right now...geez..i sure wish!! Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1919

2974. StormChaser2005 11:51 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting JFV: I'm glad that Drak got banned! Wow you got some nerve!!

2975. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 11:51 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting JFV: So, what else is out there across the basin tonight gang? nothing but blobs no dev at this time Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40517

2976. NeverPanic 11:51 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Not nessaserily JFV, Weve gone from frican wave watching to GOM blob watching with nary a mean word spoken...lol Truth be it as such....pretty quiet, considering I ran out of Vodka. Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 834

2977. extreme236 11:52 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting MDforecast: JFV dont start something boy. ive been lurking about and see that you have been up to no good. get a life Hey looks like HurricaneGeorges is back LOL Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2978. presslord 11:53 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
jfv...that's a lousy thing to say... and, while I'm at it....When are you going to apoligize to Bryan "President of the Yale Graduate School Student Body" Woods, Mr. "Third Quarter Freshman at Some Half-Baked Florida Junior College"? Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10377

2979. pearlandaggie 11:53 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
satellite loops show that mess of convection in the NE GoM has a clockwise rotation...do high pressure systems generate convection? here in Texas, high pressure usually suppresses shower activity! WTF?!?!?! LOL Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963

2980. stillwaiting 11:53 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
2962...have you seen any sat. loops today!!!,there's no way that sheer is currently that high in that area,..If you'd take a look at whats currently happening, instead of looking at your "maps",you might see that sheer has dramaticaly dropped!! although everyone is entitled to there own opinion and all of us wunderbloggers have alot more in common ,then not my friend.. Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970

2981. Nolehead 11:53 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
presslord LMAO Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1919

2983. Hhunter 11:54 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Member Since: August 19, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2886

2984. CycloneBoz 11:55 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Hey Dr. Woods, Did you get a chance to see my Hurricane Dolly footage? If so, what did you think? Member Since: August 18, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 217

2985. extreme236 11:55 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting stillwaiting: 2962...have you seen any sat. loops today!!!,there's no way that sheer is currently that high in that area,..If you'd take a look at whats currently happening, instead of looking at your "maps",you might see that sheer has dramaticaly dropped!! although everyone is entitled to there own opinion and all of us wunderbloggers have alot more in common ,then not my friend.. If you look...the thunderstorm activity is poorly organized. You can see its just a shapeless mass of thunderstorms that is sprawled out across the NE Gulf because of high shear. Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2987. kdav 11:56 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
nice image. shows potential. and here we go again.

2989. stillwaiting 11:56 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
2979...its on the south side of the high not under it!! Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970

2990. Nolehead 11:57 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
i'm outta here guys...everyone TRY to be good...(like that's going to happen) SEE YA!! Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1919

2991. extreme236 11:57 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
High wind shear and still increasing: Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2992. Hhunter 11:58 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting CycloneBoz: Hey Dr. Woods, Did you get a chance to see my Hurricane Dolly footage? If so, what did you think? good stuff but you need a good hand held ananometer so we can get some good wind speeds also.. Member Since: August 19, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2886

2993. kdav 11:58 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
dang activity just picked up on the blog. rapid intensification flag: on

2995. extreme236 11:58 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
2983. Now if that sits there for a while it could have some potential. Its another wait and see thing. Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234

2996. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 11:58 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
Quoting JFV: Quoting extreme236: Quoting MDforecast: JFV dont start something boy. ive been lurking about and see that you have been up to no good. get a life Hey looks like HurricaneGeorges is back LOL Boy? Excuse me, I'm a 22 year old man, alright bud? Therefore, respect me like one, I would massively appreciate it!!! jfv act like a man treated like a man act like a child treated like a child simple Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40517

2997. pearlandaggie 11:59 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
2984. you're one crazy SoB! LOL Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963

2998. kdav 11:59 PM GMT on July 30, 2008
dtheres a ton of shear over the carribean system. when is that shear supposed to decrease.

3000. kdav 12:00 AM GMT on July 31, 2008
Quoting StormChaser2005: Quoting JFV: So, what else is out there across the basin tonight gang? You in a sinking boat in the central pacific.Hows that sound gang? oww. that hurts.

3001. quakeman55 12:01 AM GMT on July 31, 2008
Quoting StormChaser2005: Quoting freeroam: Hey, out of lurking to say I also live in NOLA. Not funny. Quoting quakeman55: Basically, the Caribbean system will move NNW, then NW straight into the middle of the Gulf, move over a warm eddy, blossom into a CAT 5, then move straight into New Orleans. There I said it. Haha (Let's hope that keeps StormTop and all his incarnations subdued for a while, lol) CAN you beleve this guy i lost EVERYTHING!!!! Just having a little StormTop humor, that's all. Not wishcasting anything. Member Since: March 31, 2002 Posts: 1 Comments: 1276

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