Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Flooding Continues Along the Rio Grande

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 8:52 AM GMT on July 10, 2010

Hi everybody, Dr. Rob Carver filling in for Jeff while he's on vacation.

Things have quieted down in the tropics. No invests are active, and the tropical waves at sea don't have many thunderstorms associated with them. However, the moisture associated with Alex and TD Two is still bring widespread showers to Mexico/Texas which is contributing to flooding alon the Rio Grande. Here are several videos documenting the troubles along the Rio Grande.

Finally, here's a story about relief efforts in northern Mexico for villages cutoff by flood damaged roads and bridges.

Next update
Jeff should be back on Monday. Have a good weekend.

Categories: Hurricane

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1401. Grothar 4:21 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn: Does your scale equate to you, your children, your wife? I am hysterical, some are comfortable, and guess who is bearable! Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19546

1402. Patrap 4:22 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
The fried soft shell crabs and Joey Eyrster's were Fabulous Last night.. U betcha.. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1404. Chicklit 4:27 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: The fried soft shell crabs and Joey Eyrster's were Fabulous Last night.. U betcha.. You guys should work for the NOLA tourism board. Or maybe write a pamphlet: the epicurean's guide to New Orleans! Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10254

1405. Bordonaro 4:28 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Jeff9641: Possible severe wx in C FL today. Some of the storms already have intense lightning with 40 to 50mph wind gusts. From the folks at SPC concerning the SE US: ...SERN U.S... SCTD STRONG DIURNAL STORMS MAY ONCE AGAIN FORM OVER PARTS OF THE SERN U.S. TODAY IN ZONE OF HIGH PW ALONG SRN EDGE OF STRONGER WNWLY UPR FLOW. MID LVL TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY WARM /AROUND -5C AT 500 MB/. BUT STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES MAY ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL AND FOSTER A FEW MARGINALLY SVR WIND GUSTS GIVEN HIGH PW. ..CORFIDI/ROGERS.. 07/11/2010 Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

1406. Patrap 4:29 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
We get a lil Kickback chicklit, afterall..it is NOLA. Rising Tide 5 Aug 28th 2010 Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1407. MechEngMet 4:29 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Pat, I've been watching the videos, and I haven't seen the first part (flex adapter?) get lowered yet. The robots were fanning some oil away to briefly expose the center 'riser' (production) pipe. Another robot retrieved what looked like a hydraulic socket wrench. I thought that meant they wouel be bolting it on soon, but still nothing. I'll keep watching... Chicklet! Civilization is good for you. I didn't fight my way up the evolutionary food chain to eat rabbit chow. Where does that fit in Maslow's hierarchy of needs? Here's your ordermam (presents tray) Eggs Benedict with fried oysters and crawfish tails. Side of hashbrowns, and fig toast. A double tobasco bloody-mary, with Ketel-0ne, lime and spiced beans. Just call your waiter when you're ready for your second B-mary. If that doesn't set the world straight for you this morning then book the next flight to the BVI. (BTW Nice poem, thanks.) The cat is sleeping on the carpet in a spot of sun through the office window. All is right with the world for now. Member Since: April 13, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 353

1408. seajunkie 4:30 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Hey Bordo!! It is already 93 here in Denton. I need to mow the yard after the monsoons we had, but it is too muggy outside. I am inside just watching the tropics and waiting for everything to break loose. Member Since: September 4, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 46

1409. Chicklit 4:30 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting MahFL: 84 F ?, if it gets to 75 F in my house thats too hot for me. I usually keep it at 74 ish. Though my stepson keeps turning it down so before you know its 69 F in here and I am freezing my butt off lol. I am in NE FL. My son is thankfully living his own wonderful life. His mother's day card said, 'Thanks for kicking me out of the house so I could marry the woman of my dreams.' Once he became a man I knew there had to be another great woman in his life! (I mean great for him...) And she is; anyway, better log off before I get kicked off! Have a great day, everyone. Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10254

1410. Patrap 4:32 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting MechEngMet: Pat, I've been watching the videos, and I haven't seen the first part (flex adapter?) get lowered yet. The robots were fanning some oil away to briefly expose the center 'riser' (production) pipe. Another robot retrieved what looked like a hydraulic socket wrench. I thought that meant they would be bolting it on soon, but still nothing. I'll keep watching... The Package coming down is static ATM..here Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1411. JRRP 4:32 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4312

1412. CaicosRetiredSailor 4:34 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
...meanwhile, at the oil gusher, finally the "Transition Spool" is in view and things might be going in the "right direction" for a change. Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5131

1413. Patrap 4:35 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
I hope so CRS. We need a lil luck the next few days and weeks. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1414. Dakster 4:38 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Fingers are crossed... Hope that they can completely cap the gusher this time! Keep on posting the updates Patrap. I don;t even have to check anywhere else to see what is really going on! Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 4938

1415. Patrap 4:40 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
..I've been invited by a local Sierra group to go out and dive the GOM near Cat island ,..and I may this week if my schedule allows. Been 22 years since I went SCUBA diving.. Should make a interesting entry as well. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1416. gator23 4:40 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
hey, so I live in a crappily constructed particle board apartment in Central Florida does anyone know of a website that has hurricane preparedness tips for apartment dwellers who live in crappily constructed particle board apartments in Central Florida Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1994

1418. Patrap 4:42 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting gator23: hey, so I live in a crappily constructed particle board apartment in Central Florida does anyone know of a website that has hurricane preparedness tips for apartment dwellers who live in crappily constructed particle board apartments in Central Florida Leave early when told to evacuate, if staying..for a lesser storm..go to a Certified shelter. Bring fully charged laptop as well. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1419. weathermanwannabe 4:43 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Off to meet the Family for lunch.....See Everyone Tommorow. Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 6695

1420. gator23 4:44 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Leave early when told to evacuate, if staying..for a lesser storm..go to a Certified shelter. Im not in an evacuation area. I would never be told to evacuate. This is Florida there is nowhere to evacuate too. So shelter then? Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1994

1421. Claudette1234 4:44 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
West pacific TD three ADT expect to increase fast, Philipines is on track 2010JUL11 160100 1.6 1002.4/ +0.0 / 26.0 1.6 1.7 3.9 0.1T/hour OFF OFF -61.38 -63.16 CRVBND N/A 13.68 -132.22 FCST Member Since: July 21, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 549

1422. Patrap 4:45 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Jeff9641: I think this cap will work. This cap is 80 tons. A lot of flow rate and pressure readings have to be done before they Lower it. If the Back Pressure were to build under it.. They could damage and lose the well casing big time. So a Lot depends on the next 48 to come Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1423. Patrap 4:47 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting gator23: Im not in an evacuation area. I would never be told to evacuate. This is Florida there is nowhere to evacuate too. So shelter then? Everyone is in a Evac Zone. Those who think they arent..are gonna stay for a Cat-5? Good Luck..and keep the magic marker handy. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1424. spathy 4:50 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Chicklit: My thermostat is set to 84. I have the returns almost closed in the bathrooms and hallway. Wide open in my office. With the ceiling fans on, it works for me. Confession: Sometimes I drop it down to 83 :) Shears and blinds on windows help, too. Chicklit? Can I make you my official carbon offset???? Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10487

1425. IKE 4:51 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Based off the 12Z GFS runs...both operational and parallel...I guess July is a quiet time in the Atlantic. Great news for getting the oil-volcano taken care of. No northern GOM threats or any threat to the US of A through July 27th. Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1426. CaicosRetiredSailor 4:52 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Closing in now to install the Transition spool "adapter" oops edit the ROV source: Boa Deep C - ROV1 Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5131

1427. Chicklit 4:53 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting spathy: Chicklit? Can I make you my official carbon offset???? sure, though calculate for the bottles of frozen ice water that have to go into the fishtank several times a day... Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 10254

1428. MechEngMet 4:57 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Yup! Watching cameras now. They're approaching the blow-out! Member Since: April 13, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 353

1429. Patrap 4:57 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Live feeds from Ocean Intervention III - ROV2 Live feeds from Boa Deep C ROV 1 Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1430. gator23 4:57 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Everyone is in a Evac Zone. Those who think they arent..are gonna stay for a Cat-5? Good Luck..and keep the magic marker handy. I have stayed for a cat 5. My Miami house was built very well. But I understand your point. Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1994

1431. mermaidlaw 4:59 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Hi Ike, Pat, and everyone. I am just lurking. We are getting slammed here in Hernando county FL. with heavy rain and T+L! Dark as night outside. Member Since: July 23, 2006 Posts: 19 Comments: 8692

1432. Tazmanian 4:59 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
UW - CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 8.1.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 11 JUL 2010 Time : 160100 UTC Lat : 13:40:08 N Lon : 132:13:34 E CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 1.7 /1001.8mb/ 27.0kt Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 1.7 1.9 4.1 Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5088 Comments: 111354

1433. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 5:00 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: A lot of flow rate and pressure readings have to be done before they Lower it. If the Back Pressure were to build under it.. They could damage and lose the well casing big time. So a Lot depends on the next 48 to come iam very concearned about the new cap and the increase pressure it will create on the BLOWOUT PREVENTER once its place over it there could be a bigger nightmare to come they been shakin and rattling that thing since april 26 lets hope it can work out for the best but i fear more problems when that pressure is increased on the preventer from the new cap Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40571

1434. spathy 5:00 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Chicklit: sure, though calculate for the bottles of frozen ice water that have to go into the fishtank several times a day... Calculated. Three fans on tank trump ice I think. Speaking of fish tank. We removed the glass tops. Put open small grid plastic on top. Like the stuff under some florescent lights and installed fans. Works wonders for keeping down temp but you have to add alot of RO water daily. Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10487

1435. Patrap 5:00 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting gator23: I have stayed for a cat 5. My Miami house was built very well. But I understand your point. Miami was hit by a Cat-5 ? Always best to avoid the aftereffects of a Major unless one has the necessary stores,fuel, gen and Window A/C for the Heat after. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1436. JRRP 5:05 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
i´m out Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4312

1437. ElConando 5:06 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Miami was hit by a Cat-5 ? Last I checked it was Homestead back in 92 by a Cat 5 Andrew not Miami. Andrew was a small storm gator so you probably didn't get Cat 5 winds. Best to evac to a shelter prior to a direct hit from a Major or move inland to an acquaintance if you have one. I'm not in an "evac zone" but I am less than 3 miles inland. Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3703

1438. Patrap 5:06 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
LIVE webcast of the Solar Eclipse today Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1439. Patrap 5:12 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Sealing Cap Installation Animation with Kent Wells - 9 July 2010 Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1440. gator23 5:13 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting ElConando: Last I checked it was Homestead back in 92 by a Cat 5 Andrew not Miami. Andrew was a small storm gator so you probably didn't get Cat 5 winds. Best to evac to a shelter prior to a direct hit from a Major or move inland to an acquaintance if you have one. I'm not in an "evac zone" but I am less than 3 miles inland. Last I checked homestead falls under the Miami-Dade Coutny homerule charter making it part of Miami so yes. I live in West Kendall off 137th near the zoo I know what we got. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miami-Dade_county_law_and_government Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1994

1441. gator23 5:13 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Miami was hit by a Cat-5 ? Always best to avoid the aftereffects of a Major unless one has the necessary stores,fuel, gen and Window A/C for the Heat after. Miami and NOLA are different all of Miami-Dade county is "Miami" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miami-Dade_county_law_and_government That said I lived in Kendall so yes Cat-5 Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1994

1442. spathy 5:14 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting ElConando: Last I checked it was Homestead back in 92 by a Cat 5 Andrew not Miami. Andrew was a small storm gator so you probably didn't get Cat 5 winds. Best to evac to a shelter prior to a direct hit from a Major or move inland to an acquaintance if you have one. I'm not in an "evac zone" but I am less than 3 miles inland. Speaking of Andrew I was looking for one of those wind graphics that showed the wind field as it came into Homestead fl. Does anyone have one tucked away they can share? Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10487

1443. Patrap 5:15 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Miami and NOLA are different all of Miami-Dade county is "Miami" Understatement of the decade easily.. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1444. Kristina40 5:15 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Everyone is in a Evac Zone. Those who think they arent..are gonna stay for a Cat-5? Good Luck..and keep the magic marker handy. It amazes me that anyone knowing they were staring down a cat 5 direct hit- would have to be told they should evacuate. Common sense should kick in at that point or at the very least, self preservation. Member Since: June 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 681

1445. gator23 5:15 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Miami was hit by a Cat-5 ? Always best to avoid the aftereffects of a Major unless one has the necessary stores,fuel, gen and Window A/C for the Heat after. No one diminished your Katrina experience down down play my Andrew experience. You were not there I was. Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1994

1446. gator23 5:16 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Miami and NOLA are different all of Miami-Dade county is "Miami" Understatement of the decade easily.. whats with the hate pal? Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1994

1447. Patrap 5:16 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting gator23: No one diminished your Katrina experience down down play my Andrew experience. You were not there I was. Me thinks you are a tad off on skew. pfffth Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1448. Grothar 5:18 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Quoting Patrap: Miami was hit by a Cat-5 ? Always best to avoid the aftereffects of a Major unless one has the necessary stores,fuel, gen and Window A/C for the Heat after. That is our dilemna Pat. We live on one of the Intracoastal islands in Lauderdale. I have impact glass, new accordian shutters on the entire house, a full built in generator and the house is solid. We are afraid if we leave, we will be worse off than staying. My generator runs full air and all electrical appliances. During Wilma, we were out 3 weeks and fed the whole neighborhood, but still a Cat 4 or 5 changes the situation. Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19546

1449. Patrap 5:18 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
Geezum . Hate? I think your a tad mistaken. You said Miami chica.. Not Kendall. Im well aware of what occurred there as I was there in 92. Post storm with Relief...Sept 92. Permanent poof for the ill advised "gig". if your so up on me..remember this. .."Calmaity Knows NO borders,only mens minds and maps do".. Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

1450. portcharlotte 5:19 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
JB thinks the next two weeks will be favorable...here's a portion from his blog In any case the MJO is doing as I described for this season... staying on one side of the scale that favors the atlantic basin in octants 8-3. Recently it ran back into no mans land, but that is what we will see this summer. The forecast is for the pattern to get more favorable over the coming weeks. Alex developed while it was octant 2 and the increase in activity around the se Pacific and southwest atlantic basin was during that time. Though there is nothing apparent now, the forecasted MJO is more favorable in the coming weeks Member Since: September 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 703

1451. Patrap 5:22 PM GMT on July 11, 2010
BP looking to sell $12 billion in assets Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111507

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