Mikeman444's Blog

Posted by: Mikeman444, 11:31 PM GMT on April 30, 2013 +0
The missing spring of 2013 will see the arrival of Summer for some areas during the month of May.
April finished with near record cold, on the last day of April there is still a lot of snow still around in many areas. The last week saw a sudden rise into the high teens and low twenties causing overland flooding over much of the region. Parts of Saskatchewan are under a state of emergency as of Apr 30th.

Forecast for May 2013
Issued Apr 30 23:32 UTC

May will be and well above normal in Alberta to near or slightly cooler than normal in Manitoba. Dry in Alberta and Saskatchewan, near normal rainfall in Manitoba.
Models seem to point to strong intermittent ridging over BC and the Rockies indicating high temperatures and dry weather in Alberta, high snowpack will keep May's temps down for Saskatchewan and Manitoba, there may be some snow in Alberta in high elevations on the coldest days

May 1-10: Chilly to start but heating up, possibly to 30C or higher in Alberta, southern Saskatchewan, and possibly southern Manitoba.

May 10-20: Severe thunderstorms in parts of the region as temperatures return to normal, by this time most of Alberta should be in full leaf with buds bursting over the rest of the region excluding northern Manitoba. Heating up once again for the May long weekend

May 20-31: Very hot for the may long weekend in southern Alberta, severe weather possible elsewhere with large hail and maybe the first tornado of the year. Southern Alberta remaining hot into June. Northern Alberta and foothills fire risk will be very high.
Updated: 1:26 AM GMT on May 01, 2013   Permalink | A A A
Posted by: Mikeman444, 7:07 PM GMT on April 03, 2013 +0
Spring this year seems to be having a hard time getting going, still mountains of snow yet to melt and more snow through April is likely. Flood risk is extreme in some areas as the melt will be slowed until very late and any heavy rains will make it worse.

March 2013 finished of 4.1C below normal and with double the normal snowfall. The complete opposite of January and February.

April will not be any different.
3-10C colder than normal wit...
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Posted by: Mikeman444, 4:07 AM GMT on March 26, 2013 +0
After a rather long snowy winter spring awaits, but it won't be the nice warm spring we are hoping for.

Overall spring 2013 will be colder and much wetter than normal for the entire region.

Rest of March: Cold, sudden warm up coming into April, high risk of flooding.

April 1-15: becoming cold again, heavy rain and snow.

April 15-30: Warming up once again, flood risk still high.

May 1-15: Warm, thunderstorms. Fi...
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Posted by: Mikeman444, 10:40 AM GMT on March 01, 2013 +0
March 2013 Forecast
Issued: 3:14am March 1 2013

A look back: February was well within the forecast. around 5.3C warmer than average in Alberta with Saskatchewan and Manitoba close to normal.

Meteorological winter(dec-feb) overall was actually near to milder than normal due to a milder January and February canceling out the much colder than normal December.

Now the Forecast.
March will be closer to normal due to colder air m...
Categories:Forecasting
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Posted by: Mikeman444, 3:01 AM GMT on February 01, 2013 +0
February forecast.
Issued Jan 31 6:21pm

A look back. January finished off 3.6C warmer than normal with 41% of the normal precipitation.

Now the forecast.
February will avg 1-4C above normal with 20-85% of normal precip. Alberta will be the warmest and driest with colder wetter conditions to the east.

1-10: Very mild in Alberta, Lingering cold snap in the east.

10-20: Colder with some snow in Alberta, freezing rai...
Categories:Forecasting
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