caneswatch's Blog

92L reactivated and newly formed 93L
Posted by: caneswatch, 2:28 AM GMT on August 11, 2011 +2
First, i'll focus on the reactivated 92L. 92L is going head-first into dry air at the moment, but it didn't stop the NHC from bumping it up to 30%. Currently southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, it's heading in the general direction of the Leeward Islands. I do expect this one to turn away from the islands, but as for where it will end up, it's a bit too early to tell. Forecast models have moved this south and west, but I expect this to ride up the east coast.


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The next wave is 93L, directly behind 92L. 93L just exited off of Africa at around 8 degrees North. Currently, I'm more concerned with 93L. It exited Africa at a lower latitude than 92L, and it looks like it won't be affected by any trough that comes off North America. Models show 93L moving towards the Northeast Caribbean. I'll agree with this, and as for the future, it could get scary. 92L will moisten the environment for 93L, and with no dry air and low wind shear, 93L has a good chance of becoming a classic Cape Verde-style hurricane. Since this exited the African coast at a low latitude, 93L could track towards the Northeast Caribbean, the Bahamas, and the Southeast coast anywhere from Florida to the Carolina. Right now, it's a good thing this is 4,000 miles out and we have plenty of time to watch this and 92L.


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1. stormwatcherCI 2:39 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
Good analysis. Hope they do turn out to sea but not so sure they will. Forecast tracks with 92L have been shifting further south and west all day. I guess it is a wait and see. Hope it is not another Dean and Felix situation.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8040
2. caneswatch 2:42 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Good analysis. Hope they do turn out to sea but not so sure they will. Forecast tracks with 92L have been shifting further south and west all day. I guess it is a wait and see. Hope it is not another Dean and Felix situation.


Thanks!

I don't think a Dean and Felix situation will happen with these guys. I think they'll stay north of the Caribbean, or at worst, the Northeast Caribbean gets hit by one or both.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
3. Grothar 2:42 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
Nice blog, Canes. You are really getting good. We've got these nailed. LOL
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19546
4. caneswatch 2:44 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
Quoting Grothar:
Nice blog, Canes. You are really getting good. We've got these nailed. LOL


Thanks Gro! Yes we do.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
6. caneswatch 2:49 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
Quoting JFV2013:
LOL, some blog updates that YOU DO.


You're a disrespectful little brat JFV.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
7. BaltimoreBrian 2:59 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
I enjoyed chatting with you. I think you write a good blog too.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3360
8. caneswatch 3:04 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
I enjoyed chatting with you. I think you write a good blog too.


Same here, and thanks!
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
10. caneswatch 3:30 AM GMT on August 11, 2011    
Quoting JFV2013:



Am I, really? And you on the other-hand, need to grow a freaking sense of humor for once, acere, JUST SAYING, -______-.


I have a great sense of humor. And I saw what you wrote to Patrap and Stormwatcher. You have some growing up to do.
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