Tropical Cyclone Vayu Spreading Rain, Gusty Winds Into India's Gujarat State

Brian Donegan
Published: June 13, 2019

Tropical Cyclone Vayu is moving away from northwestern India's Gujarat state, but outer rainbands and gusty winds continue to lash parts of the coastline.

More than a quarter-million people were evacuated from several towns and villages in harm's way along India's western coast, according to the Associated Press. This was done with assistance from 39 National Disaster Response teams that were deployed to the region.

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Tropical Cyclone Vayu is about 300 miles south-southeast of Karachi, Pakistan, and is being steered generally west-northwestward along the western periphery of a high-pressure system situated over India.

Vayu's winds remain the equivalent of a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, according to the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Additional strengthening is not anticipated, as dry air is beginning to influence Vayu.

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Forecast Path and Satellite

On the forecast track, Vayu will move away from India's Gujarat state through Friday local time. Western India is 9.5 hours ahead of Eastern Daylight Time in the United States.

However, outer rainbands may continue to produce locally flooding rain and gusty winds at times.

The expected offshore track will significantly cut down on rainfall totals across inland areas of Gujarat. Additional rainfall totals of up to 3 inches, with locally higher amounts, are possible in coastal Gujarat through this weekend. Flash flooding and mudslides are possible.

This should be interpreted as an outlook of where the heaviest rain may fall and could shift based on the path of the tropical cyclone. Higher amounts may occur where bands of rain stall over a period of a few hours.

The track of Vayu is more uncertain late this weekend into early next week, and it could turn back toward northwestern India or southeastern Pakistan. It will be weakening but will also likely be moving slowly, which could result in prolonged heavy rainfall.

Check back to for updates.

Tropical Cyclone Strikes Are Infrequent on Far Northwestern India's Coast

Vayu didn't officially make landfall in Gujarat state, but it would have been a rare occurrence if it did. Landfalling tropical cyclones are not very common along northwestern India's Gujarat coast, and stronger tropical cyclones with hurricane-force winds are even rarer.

There have been just three tropical cyclones on record to make landfall in this region of India as a Category 2 or stronger equivalent, according to NOAA's tropical cyclone database. The last one was a Category 3 tropical cyclone, which made landfall in Gujarat in May 1999.

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