Tropical Weather Discussion

000 

abio10 pgtw 181800
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the Indian
/Ocean/181800z-191800zoct2019//
rmks/
1. North Indian Ocean area (Malay Peninsula west to coast of Africa):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary:
      (1) an area of convection has persisted near 11.2n 68.9e,
approximately 812 nm southeast of masirah island, Oman. Animated
enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts a broad area of
convection with no defined circulation center. A partial 181546z
metopa-a 89ghz image further depicts pockets of weak convection to
the south and east of the 12z best track position. Upper level
analysis indicates broad, diffluent, southerly flow aloft. This,
coupled with marginal vertical wind shear (10-20 knots) depict a
marginal environment for development, however warm (29-30 celsius)
sea surface temperatures are favorable. Global models are in good
agreement that 97a will continue to slowly consolidate as it tracks
westward through tau 24, however the wind fields are expected to
remain below 25 knots during this time.  Maximum sustained surface
winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is
estimated to be near 1006 mb. The potential for the development of a
significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.
      (2) no other suspect areas.
2. South Indian Ocean area (135e west to coast of Africa):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.//
Nnnn

View All Hurricanes and Tropical Cyclones

Category 6

Welcome to Category 6. This is the collective home for Weather Underground's featured writeups by Dr. Jeff Masters (right), Bob Henson (left), Chris Burt, and other regular contributors.

Learn more about and the hurricane season in our hurricane archive.

View All Hurricanes and Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Archive

All Atlantic Storms (1851-2019)

Named Storms for 2016

Historical Hurricane Statistics


Articles of Interest